Explanation for Question 40 From the Reading Section on the 2019 October Sat
Question 40 says based on the graph in the passage, 2 people would most likely follow would be most likely to follow the advice of 3 which forecaster. So since this question starts off with this 4 phrase, we know that the answer we're going to have to look at both 5 the passage and the graph here. So let's look at the passage first and 6 see what it says about who's going to be most likely to follow which 7 forecasts are in wine. So if we look here starting in line 8 67, it says, and people equate confidence in competence, 9 which makes the forecaster who says something has a middling probability of happening less 10 worthy of respect. In other words, 11 forecasters who are more at the other end of the spectrum. 12 So either all in or all out a hundred percent or 0% are going 13 to be worthy of more respect and therefore people would probably be more likely 14 to follow their advice, right? 15 You're going to follow the advice of those who you respect more than those 16 who don't respect. So if we look at the graph, 17 we can see that forecast or queue looking 18 at the graph yeah. Forecast or queue. So the darker color has more 0% 19 probability and a hundred percent probability. 20 Whereas forecaster P the lighter color has a lot more middling probability. 21 So in this case, you can see that forecast or queue is going to 22 have more respect to here. And in this case, 23 people would likely follow their advice more. So if we look at the answer 24 choices here, we can autom...